My current work is broadly focused on matters of war and peace. I study third-party reactions to aggression, the content of international orders, and relative conflict proneness in international relations. Previously, I have worked on topics including arms control, nuclear anarchy in international relations, and indivisibility of European security.
Working papers:
Alignment Decisions in the Face of International Aggression: Evidence from UN Voting
Crisis Bargaining, Disaster, and Interrupted War (with Scott Wolford)
Work in progress:
Modeling Conflict Proneness in International Relations: Networks, Endogeneity, and Causal Identification
Naming, Shaming, and Exiting Russia (with Rachel Jeon, Rachel Wellhausen, and Boliang Zhu)
Peer-reviewed publications:
"Obstacles to Macrosecuritization of Global Threats: Cases of Nuclear Weapons and Climate Change" (2024), Comparative Politics Russia (with Yevgeny Uchaev, in Russian)
"Is Nuclear Anarchy Sustainable? A Temporal Approach" (2022), MGIMO Review of International Relations (with Yevgeny Uchaev, in Russian)
"Indivisible Security and Collective Security Concepts: Implications for Russia’s Relations with the West" (2021), Central European Journal of International and Security Studies
Other selected publications:
"Correcting the Most Serious Mistake: Prospects for US Ratification of the CTBT" (2022), James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (with Jeremy Faust)
"Lack of Progress in Negotiations Will Lead to Russia’s Decisive Action" (2022), Nezavisimaya Gazeta (in Russian)
"Russia’s Potential Invasion of Ukraine: Bringing In Past Evidence" (2022), Modern Diplomacy
"Young Deep Cuts Policy Brief #1. Focusing the Message: Immediate Priorities for US-Russian Arms Control" (2021), Deep Cuts Project (with Noah Mayhew and Daria Selezneva)
"Evolution of and Prospects for the Concept of Prompt Global Strike" (2021), Security Index – PIR Center (in Russian)
"Why New START Extension Favors Russia" (2021), Modern Diplomacy
"The UN and Russia: End of an Illusion?" (2021), Russian International Affairs Council (in Russian)
"A World Without Russian-American Arms Control Can Be Peaceful" (2020), Russian International Affairs Council (in Russian)
